USDA increases harvest estimates for major wheat producers, no change for Ukraine

Published 2025년 11월 17일

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USDA forecasts world wheat production in MY 2025/26 at 828.89 million tons (+12.69 million tons compared to the previous forecast), according to the USDA report for November. Note: The previous USDA report was in September, not October, due to the US government shutdown. The forecast for world wheat exports is 217.21 million tons (+2.49 million

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tons). Experts have increased the forecast for ending wheat stocks in the world to 271.43 million tons (+7.37 million tons). The estimated wheat harvest forecast in Ukraine is 23 million tons, exports will be at 15 million tons, ending stocks – 1.93 million tons. That is, all indicators remained unchanged. The forecast for the wheat harvest for the USA is 54.01 million tons (+1.56 million tons). Export estimate unchanged at 24.49 million tonnes, ending stocks at 24.52 million tonnes (+1.56 million tonnes). Forecast for major wheat exporters for MY 2025/26: USDA analysts forecast wheat production in China in MY 2025/26 at 140 million tons, import estimate — 6 million tons, ending stocks — 124.78 million tons. For almost 30 years of expertise in the agri markets, UkrAgroConsult has accumulated an extensive database, which became the basis of the platform AgriSupp. It is a ...

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