Weekly overview of the global oilseed market (26 September)

Published 2024년 9월 26일

Tridge summary

Dry weather in Australia is affecting canola growth, but rain is expected in the coming days. US soybean harvest is going well with 64% in good to excellent condition. The European Black Sea region is expecting favorable rainfall. MATIF canola prices have increased due to higher US soybean futures and the strengthening vegetable oil complex. The European Union's oilseed imports are strong, and EU oilseed processing has increased by 7%. However, the European Commission has lowered its estimate for average sunflower yield in Bulgaria to 180 kg/ha, the weakest in the last 15 years. Russia's sunflower harvest is 24% complete with an average yield of 169 kg/ha, while Ukraine's yields are higher at 204 kg/ha. From October 1, Russia will increase the export duty on sunflower meal and keep the export duty on crude sunflower oil unchanged. Global sunflower oil exports are expected to fall in the 2024/25 season, leading to higher prices.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The weather Australia has seen mostly dry weather recently, unfavorable for canola. However, a rain front will try to distribute much needed rain over the eastern and western areas over the next few days. US weather will remain favorable for the advancing soybean harvest, which is 13% off versus 8% over the past five years. 64% of soybeans remain in good to excellent condition, up from 50% at this time last year. The European part of the Black Sea region expects to receive favorable rainfall in the coming days, which will benefit the sowing campaigns. Highlights from global markets MATIF canola has performed quite convincingly since the start of the week, benefiting from the support of higher US soybean futures, Canadian canola, as well as the general strengthening and appreciation of the vegetable oil complex. Thus, the November front futures rose in price by over €17/t, reaching €480/t yesterday – a level not seen since the end of July. Rapeseed imports into the EU ...
Source: Agroportal

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