The global wheat supply is under strain due to the war between Russia and Ukraine, high temperature weather, and increased prices of agricultural materials such as fertilizers. Several major wheat producing and exporting countries, including the EU, US, Russia, Australia, and India, have lowered their expected wheat production, making the outlook even more bleak. The EU is expected to see a nearly 5% decrease in wheat production this year due to drought and heatwave, while the US, Australia, and India have also seen reductions in production. The production cut is expected to lead to a reduction in exports from these countries.