World: Wheat markets rise on production worries

Published 2024년 10월 11일

Tridge summary

Wheat prices are being supported by concerns in key global producers such as Russia, Ukraine, and Argentina, as well as the access to Black Sea grain and speculative traders. There is uncertainty about the size of the 2024/25 Russian crop and slow planting of the 2025 crop due to dry weather. The Russian government has trimmed its estimate of the 2024 wheat crop from 84.0 – 86.0 Mt to 83.0 Mt. Dry weather is also causing planting delays in Ukraine and the US, and more rain is needed in Argentina to sustain yields for the 2024/25 wheat crop. In Europe, planting is delayed by wet weather and late harvesting of 2024 spring crops. Weather conditions and the upcoming USDA report could influence market direction.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Sign up to receive the Weekly Market Report and Grain Market Daily from AHDB Crop worries in key global producers, as well as access to Black Sea grain and short covering by speculative traders have continued to support wheat prices this week. While prices are up, they remain below the recent peaks on 2/3 October. Uncertainty over the size of the 2024/25 Russian crop and slow planting of the 2025 crop, amid dry weather, have been factors in markets for a couple of weeks now. The Russian government reportedly trimmed its estimate of the 2024 wheat crop from 84.0 – 86.0 Mt to 83.0 Mt yesterday. Against this backdrop, and with strong exports so far, there are rumours that Russia could introduce a higher minimum export price. If measures are introduced, it would likely add to the nervous sentiment. Some rain is predicted in key producing regions of the country for the week ahead. Dry weather also caused planting delays in Ukraine, though there are reports that recent rain has helped, ...
Source: Ahdb

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