The USDA's May World Agricultural Production report has forecasted a significant decrease in Mexico's wheat production for the 2025/26 harvest, attributing the decline to severe water shortages, especially in the state of Sonora. The drought has forced farmers to drastically cut wheat cultivation, with a 76% reduction in planted area. Authorities are promoting the cultivation of less irrigated crops like barley and safflower. Despite unused agricultural land, the drought has impeded productive activities in most states, leading to a substantial drop in vegetation in wheat areas. Only 92% of Mexico's total cereal production is expected to be winter wheat due to these constraints.