Which states should produce more or less wheat and what is the price practiced?

The Brazilian wheat market is undergoing an important transition, marked by the uneven progress of the national harvest and contrasting signals among the producing regions. At the beginning of November, while some areas of the country are reaping exceptional results, others face climatic and economic limitations that restrict productive performance and reinforce the structural dependence on imports. This combination of factors shapes the current scenario of Brazilian wheat farming, which is developing between the growing efficiency in emerging hubs and the persistent challenges in the South, where most of the supply is concentrated. In the states of the Midwest and Southeast, the 2025 cycle ends in a largely positive way. Minas Gerais, Goiás (DF), and Mato Grosso do Sul concluded the harvest with impressive results, even after a retraction of about 20% in the cultivated area. The joint production advanced by 19%, rising from 660 thousand to 785 thousand tons — a performance that ...