With adjusted supply and adverse weather, coffee has historic prices in 2025.

Arabica coffee prices surpassed R$ 2,500 per 60 kg bag, with a real average of R$ 2,565.41 in February, already adjusted by IGP-DI. This is the highest real level since the beginning of Cepea's historical series in 1999. This performance occurred even with the forecast of a slightly higher Brazilian crop than the previous one, estimated at 56.5 million bags by Conab. However, irregular weather in the first months of the year — with delayed rains in 2024 and intense heat between February and March — compromised the development of the beans, especially in the main producing regions. In the international scenario, the support for prices was reinforced by tight global stocks, the expectation of lower robusta production in Vietnam, and doubts about the performance of the Brazilian crop. Global demand remained firm throughout the year, weakening slightly only from the second half of the year. Even with a punctual retreat in July, due to the entry of the crop, arabica prices remained ...