With well-stocked mills: Wheat trading in Brazil comes down to one-off business

Published 2023년 3월 13일

Tridge summary

Wheat prices in Brazil's southern states have remained stable ahead of a stock replenishment in mid-April, with producers focusing on the summer harvest and showing reluctance to negotiate. The average price for FOB inland is R$ 1,650/ton in Paraná and R$ 1,425/ton in Rio Grande do Sul. Due to the intense export flow, the latter has seen a decrease in wheat shipments. With the summer crop occupying logistics and a defensive strategy by producers, wheat is currently not a priority. Out of the 6.010 million tons produced in Rio Grande do Sul, 69% has been committed for various purposes, leaving only 670,000 tons for sale beyond the state.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The mills are stocked and should only return with more strength in mid-April. Therefore, they have not shown flexibility in their price offers. “Producers focus their attention on the summer harvest and are not interested in negotiating at the levels offered”, points out SAFRAS & Mercado analyst, Élcio Bento. In Paraná, the average price for FOB inland is around R$ 1,650/ton for purchase. In Rio Grande do Sul the average is R$ 1,425/ton. In the second state, flow via export has lost intensity in recent months. Shipments are for products with sales committed in advance. Current indications at ports have not attracted sellers. “Wheat from other origins, especially Russia and Australia, are very competitive. To leave Rio Grande/RS at the same price as the Russian in the Black Sea FOB, the producer from Rio Grande do Sul would have to negotiate around R$ 1,355/ton inland. The internal market indicates buying interest above R$ 1,400/ton. As internal logistics must be saturated by the ...

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