Preliminary forecasts for the 2022-23 season suggest a slight decline in global cereal stocks, despite an increase in production of corn and rice. Wheat production is expected to remain steady at 775.4 million tonnes. The global cereal consumption forecast for 2021-2022 has been revised downwards due to lower than expected wheat consumption in India. The FAO forecasts a 0.5% increase in world cereal stocks by the end of 2022, primarily due to an increase in EU wheat stocks and maize stocks in India and the EU. The global cereal trade forecast for 2021-2022 has been revised upwards to 484 million tons, but the potential impact of the conflict in Ukraine on trade flows has not yet been taken into account.