W41 2024: Strawberry Weekly Update

Published 2024년 10월 18일
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In W41 in the strawberry landscape, as Egypt approaches its Nov-24 strawberry season, fresh production is expected to decline by 25% due to poor-quality plants and climate change. However, the focus is shifting toward frozen strawberries, with exports reaching 257 thousand tons last season and prices rising by 50%. In India, a government initiative aims to empower 258 tribal farmers in Ambegaon with funding for strawberry cultivation, enhancing sustainable income sources. Meanwhile, Spain's Huelva region saw a 9% production decrease, but the export value increased by 8%. In the UK, the Summer Berry Company has launched year-round strawberry production. In the US, climate change threatens yields, with a potential 40% reduction from rising temperatures. Regarding pricing, strawberry prices have declined in Mexico, the US, and Italy after recent peaks driven by weather-related supply constraints. Despite the WoW and MoM price drops, prices remain higher YoY due to lingering effects.

1. Weekly News

Egypt

Strategic Shift to Frozen Strawberries Balances Challenges in Egypt's Strawberry Sector

As Egypt's strawberry season approaches Nov-24, the industry faces climate and economic challenges expected to reduce fresh strawberry production volumes by 25%. This decrease stems from poor-quality plants and climate change impacts. However, Egypt exported 257 thousand tons of frozen strawberries last season, compared to just 43 thousand tons of fresh strawberries. Frozen strawberry prices rose by an average of 50%, encouraging producers to shift focus toward this more lucrative segment. Despite the challenges, strong global demand is expected to help stabilize and grow Egypt's frozen strawberry sector.

India

Government Initiative to Launch Strawberry Cultivation in Ambegaon

A government-approved project in Ambegaon taluka, India, aims to empower 258 tribal farmers by introducing strawberry cultivation, backed by USD 146,050 (INR 1.27 crore) in funding. Initiated by the Pune District Agriculture Superintendent, this initiative falls under the Integrated Tribal Project and focuses on Scheduled Tribe farmers. Each farmer will receive USD 556.83 (INR 46,800), with the government covering 85% of the costs. The project promises to enhance living standards, providing farmers with saplings, planting materials, drip irrigation systems, and ongoing support from the Agriculture Department. Given the favorable climatic conditions in Ambegaon and Bhimashankar, this initiative is expected to create a sustainable income source for the tribal community. A report assessing the project's impact will be submitted to the government by the Tribal Commissioner.

Spain

Decrease in Huelva's Strawberry Production

The 2023/24 strawberry season in Huelva, Spain, ended with a total production of 221,412 tons, down 9% year-on-year (YoY) due to water restrictions and heat waves. Despite this, export value increased by 8%, reaching over USD 668.82 million (EUR 616 million) by May-24. Raspberries saw a 15% decline in production, while blueberries recorded a 10% increase. Germany and the United Kingdom (UK) remain key markets, with the UK surpassing France for strawberry imports.

United Kingdom

The Summer Berry Company Introduces Year-Round Strawberry Production in the UK

The Summer Berry Company has launched the first year-round commercial strawberry production in the UK, supplying major supermarkets like Tesco, Sainsbury's, and Marks & Spencer this winter. This marks the first time British-grown strawberries will be available from November to March, including during Christmas and New Year. Traditionally reliant on imports during winter, the UK market is shifting with LED lighting and a new combined heat and power plant at the company's farm in West Sussex. Cibus Fund, which acquired the company in 2019, has invested USD 7.8 million (GBP 6 million) in this innovative technology.

Advancements in Strawberry-Picking Robots Address Labor Crisis in Agriculture

Researchers from the University of Essex are developing innovative strawberry-picking robots to combat labor shortages in the agricultural sector. These cost-effective prototypes, priced at USD 12,993.93 (GBP 10,000) compared to existing robots at USD 115,438.50 (GBP 150,000), can harvest a strawberry in just 2.5 seconds, and then weigh it and package it efficiently. Funded by a USD 1.33 million (GBP 1.02 million) grant from the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, the project aims to enhance food security and reduce labor-intensive tasks in crop picking. The robots could also be adapted for other crops, including onions, tomatoes, and lettuce.

United States

Climate Change Threatens Strawberry Production

Global warming significantly impacts agriculture, with a study from the University of Waterloo highlighting how a 1.6°C temperature increase could reduce strawberry yields by 40%. The fruit’s sensitivity to temperature fluctuations makes it particularly vulnerable, potentially raising prices and making strawberries a luxury item. Farmers, especially in key regions like California, United States (US), are already investing in advanced irrigation and technology to mitigate these effects. Sustainable practices such as precision agriculture and agroecology are crucial in maintaining food security amidst the growing threat of climate change.

US Inflation Eases to 2.4% in Sep-24, but Strawberry Prices Surge by 13%

In Sep-24, US inflation decreased to 2.4%, the lowest level since Feb-21, offering relief to households and reducing pressure on the Federal Reserve for interest rate hikes. This trend could enhance consumer purchasing power and potentially lead to rate cuts. However, strawberry prices have surged YoY, driven by transportation costs, supply chain disruptions, and labor shortages affecting seasonal harvests. California remains the dominant producer, accounting for 90% of US strawberries, while Florida contributes 8% during its season from November to April.

2. Weekly Pricing

Weekly Strawberry Pricing Important Exporters (USD/kg)

*All pricing is wholesale

Yearly Change in Strawberry Pricing Important Exporters (W41 2023 to W41 2024)

* All pricing is wholesale * Blank spaces on the graph signify data unavailability stemming from factors like missing data, supply unavailability, or seasonality

Mexico

Strawberry prices in Mexico have recently declined notably, with W41 reporting a price of USD 2.13 per kilogram (kg). This figure indicates significant decreases of 22.26% week-on-week (WoW) and 25.78% month-on-month (MoM). This drop follows a period of elevated prices, which peaked at USD 2.87/kg in W38, driven by lingering impacts of drought and unseasonal rainfall that introduced uncertainty regarding long-term supply stability. As weather conditions have improved and stabilized, the market has begun to adjust, resulting in lower prices. However, YoY prices remain high, increasing by 7.04%, suggesting that the current season's supply is still constrained compared to the previous year due to earlier weather challenges.

United States

Strawberry prices in the US have recently experienced a WoW decline of 10.18%, with W41 reporting a price of USD 2.47/kg. This decline also corresponds to a MoM drop of 40.05%. These price reductions are attributed to market adjustments following elevated prices driven by supply shortages caused by extreme weather conditions in key strawberry-growing regions. Prices peaked in W37 at USD 4.40/kg before declining as supply stabilized. However, YoY prices remain significantly high, reflecting an increase of 49.70%. This rise is due to ongoing supply constraints this season and escalating inflation in the US, raising production and input costs, further impacting market dynamics.

Italy

Strawberry pricing in Italy has been notably high recently, peaking at USD 14.59/kg in W38. This price surge can be attributed to supply constraints caused by unfavorable weather conditions. However, as the summer heat subsided, supply began to recover, leading to a subsequent price decline, reflected in the WoW decrease of 8.66% and the MoM drop of 30.64%. Despite these reductions, YoY prices remain elevated, with a significant increase of 42.54% compared to last season, indicating that supply challenges continue to linger. Prices are anticipated to decline further in the coming weeks as supply stabilizes and pricing trends return to more normal levels.

3. Actionable Recommendations

Introduce Climate-Controlled Strawberry Cultivation

Investing in climate-controlled cultivation methods, such as greenhouses and vertical farms, is essential to address climate-related challenges faced by countries like Egypt, Italy, Spain, Mexico, and the US. These techniques allow for regulated environments that protect strawberries from extreme weather, enhance crop quality, and ensure year-round production. By utilizing intelligent agriculture technologies like Internet-of-Things (IoT) sensors, growers can optimize conditions and resource usage, resulting in better fruit quality and reduced water consumption. This approach mitigates the impacts of adverse weather and stabilizes supply and pricing, ultimately leading to increased profitability and greater agricultural resilience in a changing climate.

Diversify into Frozen Strawberry Production

Diversifying into frozen strawberry production offers a strategic advantage for producers, particularly in response to the rising global demand for convenient and long-lasting products. This transition helps mitigate challenges related to fresh strawberry supply, such as climate-related disruptions and fluctuating prices, ensuring a more stable revenue stream. Frozen strawberries boast extended shelf life, reduced waste, and the ability to capture peak flavor and nutrition at harvest, enhancing product quality. Additionally, as shown in Egypt, they command higher prices than fresh strawberries, especially in off-peak seasons, increasing profitability. Producers can access new international markets by establishing strong export channels for frozen strawberries, aligning with consumer preferences and bolstering the sustainability of strawberry farming amid climate challenges.

Sources: Tridge, Agri Maroc, Agro Times UA, BBC, Diario AS, Diario Efecto, El Imparcial, Revista Mercados, The Bridge Cronicle

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