Agency Strategie Grains once again lowered forecasts for rapeseed and sunflower crops in the EU, which supported the quote

Published 2024년 10월 1일

Tridge summary

Strategie Grains has lowered its forecast for the EU's 2024 sunflower and rapeseed harvests due to adverse weather in Eastern Europe, predicting a 10% and 16.5% decrease from 2023, respectively. These reductions are expected to support oil crop prices in Europe and Ukraine. The soybean harvest forecast remains unchanged, but new EU deforestation regulations could drive up prices. While the rapeseed area is expected to grow by 4% next season, sunflower areas will stay the same. Canola futures on the Paris MATIF have responded with slight increases, and Canada's canola crop forecast has been raised to 19 million tons, similar to last season's yield.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

As a result of the unfavorable weather in Eastern Europe, the agency Strategie Grains reduced the forecast of the sunflower harvest in the EU in 2024 by 0.4 million tons to 8.9 million tons, which will be 10% less than the 9.8 million tons harvested in 2023. Harvest data confirm poor sunflower yields, which in Romania and Bulgaria will be the lowest in the last 15 years, and in Hungary will be 5% below the 5-year average. In France, slow plant development will delay harvest and make it vulnerable to bad weather. For the fifth month in a row, the agency has reduced the forecast for the rapeseed harvest in the EU, now by 0.2 million tons to 16.7 million tons, which will be 16.5% lower than in 2023. The production forecast has been reduced the most for Germany. Falling yields and stronger demand are exacerbating canola shortages in the EU, despite forecasts of a sharp increase in supplies from Canada thanks to high processing margins. The correction of forecasts will support the ...
Source: Graintrade

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