The USDA has lowered its forecast for Argentina's soybean harvest due to summer 2022 drought, reducing it by 8 million tons to 33 million tons, the worst result in 14 years. This will have significant implications for global soybean trade. The production figures may be subject to further downward corrections. However, the aggregate production of Brazil, Argentina, and Paraguay has increased by 10% compared to the previous campaign. The inventory/consumption ratio indicates a worsening trend, which could affect international prices, especially with a potential recovery in Chinese demand.