Argentina's soybean crop sinks due to drought

Published 2023년 3월 22일

Tridge summary

The USDA has lowered its forecast for Argentina's soybean harvest due to summer 2022 drought, reducing it by 8 million tons to 33 million tons, the worst result in 14 years. This will have significant implications for global soybean trade. The production figures may be subject to further downward corrections. However, the aggregate production of Brazil, Argentina, and Paraguay has increased by 10% compared to the previous campaign. The inventory/consumption ratio indicates a worsening trend, which could affect international prices, especially with a potential recovery in Chinese demand.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

In recent days, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) announced yet another cut in its forecast for the Argentine soybean harvest due to the summer 2022 drought. A reduction of another 8 million tons, compared to the February indications, which brought the country's soybean production forecast to 33 million tons, the worst result in 14 years. The prospect, according to analysts, will have considerable implications on the world trade in soybeans, widely used for the extraction of oils, but also for the production of cakes and flours to be used for animal feed. The latest estimate on the Argentine harvest could also undergo further downward corrections, based on the experience of the previous two dry years, those of 2009 and 2018, which turned out to be significantly worse, in terms of impact on yields, compared to the initial estimates. However, there are those who suggest a less negative reading of the data, starting from the observation that the aggregate production of Brazil, ...

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