Café on the rise: Market reacts to weather and tariffs

Published 2025년 10월 1일

Tridge summary

The coffee market continues to watch climatic factors in Brazil and the tariff policy of the United States, which have been influencing the volatility of prices in the international market. According to StoneX, futures contracts ended the last week higher, despite a significant decline on the 23rd, when the most active contract in New York fell almost 4.7%, reflecting the U.S. government's signaling of a dialogue channel with Brazil. The following day, prices fully recovered, showing the market's sensitivity to political and economic news.

Original content

The coffee market continues to monitor climatic factors in Brazil and the tariff policy of the United States, which have been influencing the volatility of prices in the international market. According to StoneX, futures contracts ended last week on the rise, despite a significant drop on the 23rd, when the most active contract in New York fell by almost 4.7%, reflecting the U.S. government's signaling of a dialogue channel with Brazil. The following day, prices fully recovered, showing the market's sensitivity to political and economic news. From a fundamental perspective, there were no significant changes last week. The weather in Brazil remains a determining factor for the productive potential of the 2026/27 crop, keeping producers and investors on alert. In parallel, U.S. tariffs on Brazilian coffee remain on the market's radar, impacting export decisions and trade flow. In the weekly balance, according to the consultancy, contracts in New York closed up by 1,155 points, or ...
Source: Agrolink

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