Corn prices did not respond to lower estimates of world stocks and US harvest in new USDA report

게시됨 2024년 11월 10일

Tridge 요약

The USDA's November report unexpectedly increased forecasts for global corn production and consumption for FY 2024/25, while lowering world stock estimates. Global consumption is set to surpass production by 10 million tons, reversing the previous year's trend. Despite lower U.S. yield expectations, the USDA's figures were higher than anticipated, causing December corn futures to rise slightly. However, growth was limited by reduced Chinese import forecasts due to higher domestic production. Changes in the corn market include decreased exports from Black Sea countries, supporting Ukrainian prices amid rising demand from Egypt and Turkey, though offset by reduced Chinese imports and increased U.S. supplies. The report is seen as neutral, with market focus on China's production and import forecasts.
면책 조항: 위의 요약은 정보 제공 목적으로 Tridge 자체 학습 AI 모델에 의해 생성되었습니다.

원본 콘텐츠

In the November supply and demand balance sheet, USDA experts unexpectedly raised their forecasts for world corn production and consumption, and lowered their estimate of world stocks in FY 2024/25. In FY 2024/25, global corn consumption is expected to exceed production by 10 million tons, while in FY 2023/24, production exceeded consumption by 10 million tons. Analysts had expected lower yield and production estimates for U.S. corn, but the report's data exceeded those expectations, as USDA experts cut their yield forecast from 183.8 to 183.1 bushels/acre (11.48 t/ha) and production from 386, 18 to 384.64 million tons (389.7 million tons last year). December corn futures on the Chicago Stock Exchange rose 0.8% to $169.7/t on the report (+3.7% from the October report), but their growth was limited by a sharp decline in the import forecast to China, caused by the increase of own production. Compared to the October estimates, the new corn balance for the 2024/25 FY has undergone the ...
출처: Graintrade

더 깊이 있는 인사이트가 필요하신가요?

귀사의 비즈니스에 맞춤화된 상세한 시장 분석 정보를 받아보세요.
'쿠키 허용'을 클릭하면 통계 및 개인 선호도 산출을 위한 쿠키 제공에 동의하게 됩니다. 개인정보 보호정책에서 쿠키에 대한 자세한 내용을 확인할 수 있습니다.