The USDA forecasts a 6% decrease in China's raisin production for 2022/23, reaching 170,000 metric tons, due to strict COVID-19 controls in Xinjiang. Despite a rise in demand, domestic stocks are expected to remain steady at 30,000 metric tons as companies opt for cheaper imported raisins. Imports are projected to rise by 10% to 31,000 metric tons, primarily from Uzbekistan and Chile, while exports are anticipated to drop by 15% to 15,000 metric tons due to high inflation and increased competition from Turkey.