Domestically produced Hawaiian fruit yield breaks 100,000 tons, leaping to the top globally!

The latest yield forecast released by the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council (INC) shows that the global macadamia nut production is expected to increase slightly by 2025, with China's production rising by nearly 50%, reaching 104,000 tons, surpassing South Africa to become the top producer. Australia's situation is not as severe as expected, with a production of 43,800 tons. The global production of macadamia nuts in shell is expected to increase by 7% compared to last year, reaching 346,900 tons; the kernel production is expected to increase by 9% to 95,455 tons. The China Food and Animal & Plant Products Import and Export Fair pointed out that China, with a bumper harvest of over 100,000 tons, ranks first in the world. In contrast, adverse weather conditions leading to reduced production and smaller nuts prompted the South African Macadamia Growers' Association (SAMAC) to lower its production estimate for this season to 83,400 tons. However, with the expansion of planting areas and the gradual maturation of orchards, its long-term prospects remain optimistic. The Australian Macadamia Society recently released its final forecast for the 2025 production season, showing that the actual production did not reach the July estimate of 37,300-41,970 tons, but the situation is better than expected, with an estimated production of 43,800 tons. However, continuous heavy rainfall has affected production, with most growers in New South Wales and Queensland reporting the lowest yields in over a decade. In contrast, the Bundaberg region, with young trees approaching the peak production period, has a record yield exceeding 30,000 tons. Given the current favorable conditions, the association holds a cautiously optimistic attitude towards the 2026 production season. The quality of the macadamia nut harvest in Kenya was excellent at the beginning of the season but declined slightly later, but the production still met expectations, increasing by nearly 8% to 47,500 tons. The 2026 harvest is expected to remain stable. Strong export market performance has led to a rise in macadamia nut prices this year, with the United Kingdom, the European Union, and China as key markets; however, tariffs and inventory transfers continue to put pressure on sales in the United States. Demand from India and Southeast Asia is steadily increasing. Image source: Mundus Agri 2025 International Fruit and Vegetable Report. All rights reserved. For reprint permission, contact the International Fruit and Vegetable Report and credit the source.