Enfen maintains "Not Active" alert due to possible presence of El Niño or La Niña

The Multisectoral Commission of the National Study of the El Niño Phenomenon (Enfen) reported that, based on the analysis of the oceanic and atmospheric conditions observed to date, as well as the forecasts of national and international climate models, it maintains the State of the Coastal El Niño/La Niña Alert System as "Not Active" for the Niño 1+2 region. Furthermore, it is considered that for this summer (December 2025 – March 2026), in the Niño 1+2 region, the neutral condition (58%) is more likely, followed by warm conditions (32%). Starting from April 2026, weak warm conditions are the most likely, persisting at least until August 2026. On the other hand, in the central Pacific (Niño 3.4 region), it is more likely that the weak cold condition will continue until January 2026. For the summer of 2025-2026, the neutral condition (52%) is more likely, followed by the weak cold condition (43%). However, by the end of autumn and the beginning of winter, weak warm conditions would ...