The Russo-Ukrainian war is poised to significantly impact wheat and grain supplies in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), as these regions rely heavily on Russia and Ukraine for their exports. The conflict has already led to a 30% increase in wheat futures prices and the closure of the Black Sea route, a crucial channel for exporting grain from Ukraine to MENA countries. Additionally, Western sanctions on Russia have affected fertilizer exports, which are essential for maintaining crop production. The poorest populations in the MENA region are particularly vulnerable to the resulting inflation and food price hikes, which could lead to social and political unrest. MENA countries are struggling to find alternative sources for food imports as global inflation and export restrictions limit their options, further exacerbated by water shortages in the region. Experts warn of an unprecedented economic shock and potential social and political destabilization due to the worsening economic challenges in these countries.