Analytical agencies in Argentina predict that by 2025/26, the area under soybean cultivation in the country will decrease to 16.5 million hectares due to farmers switching to corn and the expansion of sunflower acreage. As a result, the soybean harvest will be 47.5 million tons, although the USDA estimates the 2025/26 harvest at 48.5 million tons and the 2024/25 harvest at 51.1 million tons.
Thanks to the high profitability of processing, its volume will remain at 42 million tons despite a significant reduction in reserves after a short-term lifting of the export duty.
Soybean exports will be 6.5 million tons (the USDA estimates it at 8.25 million tons) due to high demand from China, and exports of soybean meal and oil will return to usual levels of 29.5 million tons and 6.15 million tons, respectively, after record growth in 2024/25.
Sunflower sowing areas in Argentina will increase to 2.65 million hectares, and its harvest will reach 5.3 million tons, which will allow processing to increase to 5 million tons and ensure significant volumes of soybean oil and meal exports, reports oilworld.ru with reference to the USDA.