Larger EU wheat and barley crops in 2025

Sign up to receive the Weekly Market Report and Grain Market Daily from AHDB. Both Stratégie Grains and Coceral predict an 11% larger soft wheat (exc. Durum) crop for the EU-27 in 2025. Private forecaster Stratégie Grains forecasts the EU-27 2025 crop at 126.6 Mt vs 114.2 Mt this year. Industry association Coceral is only 0.1 Mt lower for both its estimate of the 2024 crop (114.1 Mt) and its projection for 2025 (126.5 Mt). The increased crop figures follow expanded areas due to improved weather conditions compared to the very wet conditions in autumn 2023. Data from the French government earlier this week reported a 8.7% rise in soft wheat area for the EU’s top wheat producer. Meanwhile, this morning data from the German government shows a 12.3% recovery in winter wheat area. Germany is closer than France, neither of these countries’ areas return to their 2019 – 2023 averages. Despite this, at 126.5Mt, Coceral’s prediction for 2025 EU-27 crop would only just fall short of the 2019 ...