Market projections for EU field crops until 2035

Published Dec 17, 2024

Tridge summary

The European Commission's agricultural outlook for the period 2024-2035 anticipates a shift in the use of arable land, with a decrease in cereals and rapeseed cultivation in favor of soya, other oilseeds, and legumes due to reduced demand for cereals for animal feed and biofuels. There will also be an increase in the area dedicated to permanent crops, while permanent grassland and fallow land may remain stable. Cereal and oilseed yields are projected to rise slightly, thanks to advancements in precision agriculture, digitalization, and improved soil health, mitigating the effects of climate change, reduced agricultural input availability, and increased prices. The production of cereals, especially corn and barley, is expected to rise, while sugar production will decline due to a decrease in sugar beet yields and a shift towards low-sugar diets. Oilseed and protein crop production is forecasted to increase, with a significant growth in soybean production driven by EU policy and the demand for GMO-free products.

Disclaimer: The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The use of EU arable land is expected to partially change by 2035. A shift in land use is expected from cereals and rapeseed to soya, other oilseeds and legumes, driven by lower demand for cereals for animal feed and biofuels. The area of agricultural land occupied by permanent crops is expected to increase, while permanent grassland and fallow land may remain stable. Cereal and oilseed yields are expected to increase marginally by 2035, thanks to positive developments in precision agriculture, digitalization and improved soil health, offsetting climate change, reduced availability and increased availability of agricultural inputs. By 2035, global EU cereal production is expected to be 273.8 million tonnes (1.1% above 2022-2024). Cereal production is expected to be driven by corn (63.2 million tons) and barley (51 million tons), while wheat production is expected to increase after a decline in 2024. Finally, sugar production is expected to slowly decline until 2035, driven by a ...

Source: 3tres3