StoneX predicts a global sugar surplus of 5 million tons for the 2022/23 harvest, with a slight decrease in expected volume due to uncertainties in Indian production. India's production is expected to match the previous season at 35.8 million tons, and there may be additional quota for exports. Brazil's production is projected to remain at 37 million tons. The European Union and the United Kingdom are expected to see a decrease in sugar production by 8%, with strategies to mitigate productivity losses from extreme dry climate.