The first forecast for the 2024/25 season by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) predicts that global cereal production will slightly decrease from the record of 2023/24, totaling 2,846 million tons. This is despite an expected increase in production of barley, rice, and sorghum, which is offset by a predicted decline in corn and wheat production. Adverse weather conditions in the Black Sea region could further reduce wheat production, although this is not yet reflected in the forecast. Global cereal consumption is expected to rise by 0.5% to a record 2,851 million tonnes, with staple foods, particularly rice, driving this increase. However, the FAO also anticipates a 1.3% decrease in world grain trade to 481 million tons, largely due to a deteriorating outlook for corn trade, while international rice trade is expected to see rapid growth.