U.S. cattle herd contracts as drought continue

Published 2021년 9월 28일

Tridge summary

The USDA NASS midyear Cattle report reveals a decrease in the U.S. cattle herd by 1%, with a 2% drop in beef cows but a 2% increase in dairy cows. The 2021 calf crop is expected to be slightly lower, and fewer beef heifers are being retained for beef cow replacement. The number of cattle in feedlots and the sex distribution of cattle on feed have also decreased. Dry conditions in pastures and ranges are affecting cattle inventory in some northwestern states, leading to increased cow culling and lower average carcass weights. Despite these challenges, fed steer prices are on the rise, with expectations for further increases in the third and fourth quarter of 2021, and beef imports, particularly from New Zealand, Brazil, Uruguay, and Argentina, have increased to the third-largest volume since June 2015, with the second quarter of 2021 seeing the largest volume of beef imports since 2015.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) released the midyear Cattle report on July 23, which provided a snapshot of the U.S. cattle inventory, as well as a glimpse into cow-calf producers’ intentions for retaining heifers. July’s Cattle report estimated the U.S. cattle herd at 100.9 million head, 1% less than the 2020 estimate of 102.2 million head. The number of beef cows is 2% lower than a year earlier at 31.4 million head, but the number of dairy cows is estimated 2% above last year’s level at 9.5 million head. The 2021 calf crop is expected to be 35.1 million head, down slightly from last year. According to the Cattle report, producers intend to keep about 4.3 million beef heifers as beef cow replacements, 2% fewer than producers intended to keep at this time last year. Based on the number of beef cows on July 1 and beef cow slaughter in the first half of the year, the Economic Research Service (ERS) estimates that 13% fewer beef heifers entered the herd in ...

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