Kazakhstan: What’s going on in the 2022/23 season and harvest forecast for 2023

Published Apr 5, 2023

Tridge summary

Kazakhstan's grain production has seen a significant increase of 34% in 2022, reaching a total of 22 M mt. This growth is attributed to high wheat and barley exports, with wheat exports hitting a record 4.1 M mt since 2011, primarily to China, and barley exports amounting to 644 K mt. Furthermore, wheat flour exports, largely to Afghanistan, have also increased by 32% from the previous year. Despite some logistical challenges and competition from Russian wheat, the country's grain area is projected to increase in 2023. The article highlights the developments in the grain market, with a focus on key export destinations like Iran and China, and the impact of weather conditions and sowing seasons. It also mentions the upcoming EURO GRAIN HUB Exchange & Forum in Bucharest, where experts and stakeholders will discuss the latest trends and future directions in the global grain and oilseeds markets.

Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Total grain production in Kazakhstan is 22 M mt (+34% up compared to 2021), including: In September-February of 2022/23, wheat exports exceeded 4 M mt (+19% yoy), this is the record since 2011/12 MY. Key export destinations did not changed: Shipments to China increased significantly (to 24.5 K mt, 100% more than in the 2021/22 season). The Minister of Trade and Integration Kazakhstan announced plans to increase wheat exports to China to 1 M mt per year. Barley exports in September 2022-February 2023 amounted to 644 K mt (about 185 K mt). All importing countries increased demand for the barley: The significant shipments increase has given us reason to revise upward previous estimate of barley exports from Kazakhstan by 50 K mt to 850 K mt (2022/23). Flour production increased to 2.25 M mt (+5% y-o-y) with wheat flour exports in September 2022-February 2023 amounted to 1.14 M mt (+32% from 2021/22 MY), mainly due to growing demand from Afghanistan (up 44%). The weather in winter ...

Source: UkrAgroConsult