August 2025 Outlook Report: Fruits

- Key Indicators: Global freight prices averaged USD 2,531.25/40-foot container, marking a 25.46% month-on-month (MoM) decline and a 50.19% year-on-year (YoY) drop. The decrease was largely attributed to sluggish demand following an earlier wave of frontloading ahead of the initial Jul-25 tariff deadline. Meanwhile, the World Bank’s Fertilizer Index averaged 154.53 points, an 8.05% MoM increase and a 28.41% YoY rise. The overall gain was driven by notable price increases in urea and diammonium phosphate (DAP), which outweighed a slight decline in potassium chloride.

- Avocado: In Aug-25, Mexican avocado prices are expected to remain soft, particularly where export demand continues to divert the best fruit. However, Spanish wholesale levels are expected to remain firm as Spain’s local season continues and summer domestic consumption remains high. Similarly, given the strong season and abundant inventories, the near-term outlook for Aug-25 is mildly softer in Chilean domestic wholesale channels.

- Grape: Chilean wholesale prices are expected to remain soft unless exporters sharply increase overseas shipments or a weather event hits specific growing zones. Conversely, South African industry players should anticipate firm wholesale prices as premium seedless varieties should retain upside if export demand remains healthy.

- Mango: Brazilian mango prices are expected to trend upward in Aug-25 due to higher-quality lots.