Global arable market report on October 28, 2024

Published 2024년 10월 28일

Tridge summary

The article provides an overview of the global agricultural market, focusing on grain and oilseed prices and production forecasts. It highlights the competitive export prices of Russian grain, which continues to support strong export numbers, despite anticipated smaller crops in the future. The article also notes the impact of weather conditions on production in key areas, such as drought in the US and France, and heavy rainfall in Brazil. Additionally, it discusses the effect of trade tensions and election uncertainty on US soybean exports to China. The forecast of lower global production and increased demand for rapeseed, alongside support from the wider vegetable complex, results in rising rapeseed prices. The article also mentions the progress of soybean and maize harvests in the US and Brazil, and the impact of weather conditions on palm oil production in Malaysia and Indonesia.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The modest rise in Russian grain value offers support, however export prices remain competitive and therefore strong export pace continues. The forecast of more favourable weather also weighs on the market, but expectations of a smaller Russian 2025 wheat crop limits pressure. Strong US export sales and slow French harvest buoys the market despite the rapid US harvest pace and ample global supply. The balance of drivers seen in both the wheat and maize markets is likely to guide the direction of barley both short and longer term. While there had been mixed movements throughout the period, global wheat markets were pressured on the week while maize was supported (Friday – Friday). Considerable value was lost across the cereals complex on Friday (25 Oct) following a forecast of more favourable weather in key growing regions as well as the ongoing competitiveness of Russian wheat. In the US, 58% of the winter wheat crop was reported to be in drought condition (as at 22 Oct), the ...
Source: Ahdb

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