Australia: China news adds to northern price slide

Published 2024년 8월 30일

Tridge summary

Unconfirmed reports indicate that China may halt imports of barley and sorghum due to weaker demand, a move expected to impact exporters including the US. Meanwhile, Australian sorghum stocks are low, and barley volumes are decreasing ahead of the new crop. The situation is causing concerns about freight and pushing some consumers to secure their November coverage. In Queensland, growers may face logistical challenges due to the large chickpea harvest, and low cereal prices are forcing some to consider selling chickpeas as a cash crop. Despite these challenges, crops in northern Australia are expected to yield above average, while some in Victoria and South Australia may yield below average. Recent rain and warm weather have led to good pasture growth, but there are concerns about potential frost or heat without sufficient rain. Some farmers may need to convert their crops into hay to offset the low prices or due to freight issues.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Unconfirmed news that China is halting imports of barley and sorghum has fed into the stockfeed market as new-crop barley gets closer, and sorghum planting starts. In the southern market, precarious conditions for the new crop have seen barley prices bounce, while prompt wheat values have followed the global market lower. In the north, grain will be plentiful but freight will be tight as trucks shun cereals to shuttle chickpeas from farms to depots or export terminals. This realisation is pushing some northern consumers to make a move on their November coverage. Table 1: Indicative delivered prices in Australian dollars per tonne. An article published by Bloomberg overnight says China has asked its traders to ratchet back their grain imports to counter weaker-than-expected demand and bolster local prices. The article says barley and sorghum shipments that have been booked are not affected, and new measures are likely to impact arrivals from November, and into the first quarter of ...

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