Spain's avocado production is projected to decrease by 25% to 40% this campaign due to drought and high temperatures, with the majority of the harvest coming from the Axarquía region in Malaga. This shortage is expected to increase prices, potentially reaching 2.50 to 3 euros per kilo, but may not fully compensate for the reduced income from the decreased production. The price fluctuations may result in market tensions as demand for avocados continues to rise in Europe.