Brazil: Estimated orange harvest revised to 314.09 million cartons of 40.8 kg

Published 2022년 9월 20일

Tridge summary

The recent update by Fundecitrus on the orange harvest forecast for the 2022-2023 season in São Paulo and West-Southwest Minas Gerais has seen a slight decrease of 0.9% in the initial estimate, totaling 314.09 million cartons. This represents a reduction of 2.86 million cartons from the May projection, attributing the adjustment primarily to the dry conditions experienced in recent months, despite a more favorable rainfall pattern compared to last year. The production is anticipated to concentrate in the Triangulo Mineiro region, with an estimated 75.2% of the total harvest. The decline rate for Hamlin, Westin, and Rubi varieties has been adjusted downward, while other early varieties also see a slight decrease in expected production. Overall, the forecast reflects a slightly lower yield due to rainfall shortfalls, even as the current climate improves upon the previous year.

Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The first update of the estimate for the orange harvest in 2022-2023 for the citrus belt of São Paulo and West-Southwest Minas Gerais, published by Fundecitrus on September 12, 2022, is 314.09 million cartons of 40.8 kg each. This figure represents a decrease of 0.9%, or 2.86 million cartons, from the original estimate published in May this year. The Triangulo Mineiro is expected to produce approximately 22.97 million cartons of the total harvest. The reason for this decrease is the low amount of rain in recent months. Although the current scenario is more favorable than last year, thanks to a higher precipitation index and a better distribution of precipitation, the volume was well below the historical average. The expected fruit loss percentage drops from 20% to 19.8%, taking all varieties into account. The varietal decline rate was updated to 10.8% (-0.70 ...

Source: AGF