Ukraine's 2021 wheat harvest is projected to increase by 14% from last year, reaching 28.3 million tons, and barley harvest is expected to rise by 5% to 8.0 million tons, according to an analyst. However, heavy rainfall has caused crop lodging and potential quality issues, including higher moisture, protein, and gluten content, and the development of harmful microflora. Weather conditions in Ukraine and major exporting countries, as well as the volume of early grain production, stocks, and farmer activity, will influence prices. The quality of wheat is still uncertain, and there may be more forage than 'food grain'. Additionally, an increase in production could put a strain on the logistics system, potentially leading to higher tariffs.