USA: NOAA Fisheries predicts some fish and crab species will shift further north than expected due to climate change

게시됨 2024년 12월 24일

Tridge 요약

NOAA Fisheries has developed new models to predict the impact of climate change on the Eastern Bering Sea, finding that several commercially important species are expected to shift their summer distributions. The study projects that most species will shift north by between 50 and 200 kilometers by 2080, with large declines in areas occupied by red king crab, snow crab, and northern rock sole. There will also be an increase in the area occupied by arrowtooth flounder, a predator of pollock. The models used 40 years of scientific surveys and a high-resolution oceanographic model to make more accurate predictions of how species could shift. The research will help NOAA Fisheries build on existing distribution modeling efforts and create more accurate predictions of how species will shift due to climate change.
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원본 콘텐츠

NOAA Fisheries said it has developed new scientific models to predict changes to the Eastern Bering Sea due to climate change and has found large shifts for commercially important species. In a release, NOAA said the study found several economically important species will see shifts in their summer distributions, with most shifting north by between 50 and 200 kilometers by 2080.Included in those shifts are large declines in the amount of the area red king crab, snow crab, and potentially northern rock sole occupy in the southern months; an increase in the area occupied by arrowtooth flounder, which is a predator of pollock; and declines in probability of occurrence of most species in areas with low pH and oxygen concentration. “As a subarctic ecosystem at the sea ice margin, the eastern Bering Sea is warming faster than much of the global ocean, resulting in the rapid redistribution of key fishery and subsistence resources,” said Maurice Goodman, the lead author of the study and a ...

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