Safras & Mercado reduces projection of the 2025/26 soybean crop in Brazil

Brazilian soybean production in the 2025/26 season is expected to total 178.76 million tons, according to a survey by consultancy Safras & Mercado, representing an increase of 4% compared to the 2024/25 crop, which totaled 171.84 million tons. However, the number was below the previous estimate, released on September 5, which pointed to 180.92 million tons. The survey points to a 1.4% growth in the planted area, estimated at 48.31 million hectares, up from 47.64 million hectares in the previous crop. Average productivity is expected to rise from 3,625 kg/ha to 3,719 kg/ha. Most of the adjustment occurred in the North-Central region of the country (Matopiba) due to irregular rainfall, planting delays, and lower average productive potential. According to Safras analyst Rafael Silveira, "together with factors such as replanting, this does not mean a lost crop, just a lower potential in some regions of these states." In the state of Tocantins, the expected productivity fell from 3,800 ...