Sharp drop in soybean oil prices increased pressure on other oils, but the premium for sunflower oil will continue to grow in the United States

Published 2024년 11월 21일

Tridge summary

Soybean and palm oil futures have seen mixed movements on the back of green energy uncertainties with the new US Administration and expectations of increased palm oil demand due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, potentially reducing sunflower oil supply. Despite an increase in soybean processing and high export rates, soybean oil futures fell by 5%. Palm oil prices in Malaysia saw a slight decrease, despite anticipated reduced production and increased demand. Sunflower oil prices in Ukraine remained stable, but the premium compared to soybean and palm oil is expected to rise due to supply shortage and increasing rapeseed oil prices in the EU.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

December futures for soybean oil on the Chicago Board of Trade for two sessions fell by 5% to 954 $/t (+1.9% for the month), losing for the week the growth of the previous two weeks due to uncertainty with green energy programs after the arrival of the new US Administration. They were not supported by a sharp decline in the forecast of soybean crop in the United States, the increase in soybean processing in October to a record level, high rates of soybean exports and even a slight increase in oil prices. December futures for palm oil on the Bursa exchange in Malaysia on Monday fell 3.8% to 4899 ringgit/t, and on Tuesday and Wednesday traded at 4924 ringgit/t or 1100 $/t (-1.3% for the week) on expectations of increased demand for palm oil amid escalating war of Russia against Ukraine, which will reduce the supply of sunflower oil. According to surveyors, Malaysia for 1-20 November reduced the export of palm oil compared to the corresponding period in October by 1.4-5.3%, but ...

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