Sugar: bearish trend marked the last week in Brazil, with an eye on the Asian market

Published 2024년 12월 17일

Tridge summary

Sugar prices have seen a decline due to Thailand's successful crushing season, leading to increased production, and China's suspension of imports of Thai syrup and sugar blends for health reasons, resulting in around 1 million tons of sugar being stranded. China's own harvest has been productive, further reducing import demand. A surprising crushing accumulation in Brazil for the 24/25 harvest has also been noted. Indonesia aims to achieve food self-sufficiency by 2027 and plans to ban sugar imports for consumption from 2025, but may still import raw sugar from Brazil.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

Last week, sugar prices fell due to several factors. “Thailand started its crushing in December, with positive results: production of 193kt of sugar, from 2.7Mt of cane, higher productivity than the previous cycle, of 23/24”, observes Lívea Coda, Sugar and Ethanol analyst at Hedgepoint Global Markets. On December 10, China’s Agricultural Products Standards Office (AGDA) suspended imports of Thai syrup and sugar blends due to health concerns, leaving around 1Mt of sugar stranded. “This is happening at a time when the Chinese harvest is showing exceptional results, with production 53% higher than last year, and lower demand for imports – falling from 920kt to 540kt in October this year, compared to the same period last year,” says the analyst. In addition, the Unica report indicated a surprising accumulated crushing that exceeded 600Mt for the 24/25 harvest in the Center-South. “In light of the results, we revised our estimates from 610Mt to 616.5Mt,” highlights Lívea. The analyst ...

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