A severe shortage of sunflower oil is emerging on the global market, with limited alternatives available due to supply constraints of rapeseed, soybean, palm, and corn oils. The USDA forecasts a significant decrease in the balance of vegetable oils by the end of the season, down by 6.55% or -1695 thousand tons from the previous year. This shortage is linked to reduced sunflower oil exports from Ukraine, expected to fall by 25-35%. Consequently, the global market will experience a surge in sunflower oil prices, which may not stimulate exports as main consumers in India and China are unwilling to pay high prices.