The global rice market is about to fall into the biggest shortage in 20 years

Published 2023년 4월 19일

Tridge summary

In 2023, the global rice market is expected to experience its largest shortage in two decades, according to Fitch Solutions, with an estimated shortage of 8.7 million tons. This shortage is attributed to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, extreme weather conditions in China and Pakistan, and a surge in demand due to high prices of other grains. As a result, rice prices have reached their highest level in a decade and are expected to stay high until 2024. However, Fitch Solutions predicts that the market will return to near equilibrium by 2023-2024, with rice prices potentially dropping by nearly 10% to $15.5/cwt by 2024. The rebound in global rice production is expected to happen in 2023-2024, with India being the main driver, although weather conditions remain a concern.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

According to Fitch Solutions, the global rice market will record its largest shortage in two decades in 2023. Shortages of this magnitude in one of the world's most cultivated grains will hurt importers, analysts say. “At the global level, the most obvious impact of the global rice shortage is that rice prices have risen to their highest levels in a decade,” said Charles Hart, commodity analyst at Fitch Solutions. . Rice prices are expected to stay around their current highs until 2024, according to a report by Fitch Solutions Country Risk & Industry Research published on April 4. The average rice price is expected to remain at 17.3 USD/cwt until 2023 and will only decrease to 14.5 USD/cwt in 2024. Cwt is a unit of measure for some commodities such as rice, 1 cwt equivalent to 45.4 kg. “Since rice is a staple food in many Asian markets, the price of this commodity is a key determinant of food price inflation and food security, especially for the poorest households,” said Hart. ...
Source: Vietstock

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