Contrary to initial expectations, the War in Ukraine has not led to a surge in commodity prices, according to Ed Usset, a grain market economist from the University of Minnesota. Despite the war, Russia, the world's largest wheat exporter, has maintained its grain supplies and movement from the Black Sea region. Over the past decade, Russia has been consistently supplying wheat at low prices to Africa, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East due to its good crop yields. Usset anticipates that Russia will have another strong wheat crop in 2024.