The USDA's report on the global wheat balance for 2024/25 has caused a surge in prices in Chicago and Paris due to increased dynamic consumption and decreasing wheat stocks. This is compounded by deteriorating crop conditions in Russia, the EU, and Ukraine. The International Grains Council has reduced its world wheat production forecast for 2024/25 by 10 million tons due to adverse weather conditions in several countries, including a significant reduction in the Russian harvest forecast. Ukrainian grain production and export forecasts have also been lowered due to reduced sown areas and dry weather. Experts believe the Russian harvest forecast is too optimistic, and agencies continue to lower their forecasts for the Russian and Ukrainian grain harvests for 2024, leading to a 20-30% increase in world wheat prices.