News

A mixed production outlook for the South Africa's wine and maize industries in 2023

Wheat
Red Wine
Published Jan 30, 2023

Tridge summary

The food security risk from the severe load-shedding is evident across the agricultural sector and the broader food, fibre and beverages value chain cases, as we have discussed in a recent note. The Ministerial Task Team assessing the impact of the load-shedding in the sector and crafting response mechanisms to lessen the blow in the sector need to move speedily as the challenge in the farms and food processing facilities worsens each day.

Original content

Aside from the challenges presented by the power crisis, the latest harvest news in wine grapes and maize paints a mixed outlook for these two subsectors. In this week’s note, we explore the production conditions in these separate subsectors, and the outlook for the harvest. First, South Africa’s wine grapes for this year are projected to be lower than the 2022 harvest because of unfavourable weather conditions earlier in the season. The South African Wine Industry Statistics will release its production estimates later in February but has already indicated the prospects of lower yields. This means the wine production could also be lower than 2022 levels, with preliminary estimates pointing at an output of around 800 million litres. This will add pressure to an industry still recovering from the slump through the worst of the Covid-19 pandemic, where the ban on sales at various intervals had a severe negative financial impact. Importantly, this industry is labour-intensive. ...
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