Brazil is expected to import a record volume of fertilizers in 2025.

Published 2025년 11월 3일

Tridge summary

Agricultural production costs in Brazil continue to rise, and fertilizers remain the main pressure factor on producers' margins. According to Rabobank, it is expected that 2025 will register a new historical record of imports, with about 45 million tons of the input arriving in the country, surpassing the volume of 2024 and reflecting the increase in domestic demand.

Original content

Between January and September 2025, 33.6 million tons have already been imported, compared to 31.6 million in the same period of the previous year. Deliveries to the consumer are also expected to grow by about 10%, totaling 46.6 million tons by the end of the year. This increase reinforces the strategic role of fertilizers in agricultural planning and highlights Brazil's dependence on external inputs. The international scenario, however, remains challenging. The rise in phosphorus prices (MAP), driven by lower global supply and reduced Chinese exports, has increased the cost of fertilization in virtually all crops. On average, the cost per hectare is expected to rise by 7.4% in 2025 compared to 2024, with a notable increase for sugarcane, which reaches an average of 10.7%. Despite the increase in domestic supply, the global market still faces imbalances between ...

Source: Agrolink