The Brazilian soybean market is poised to benefit from a US-Mexico tariff dispute, as Mexico may shift its supply source to South America due to potential interruptions in US supply. The US is the primary supplier of soybeans to Mexico, which is the second-largest market for US soybeans. However, Brazil's growing production capacity could challenge the US's market share, with Brazil expected to produce 166 million mt during the 2024/2025 harvest. The impact of the proposed tariffs and their effect on trade remain uncertain.