Canada: Chickpea harvest forecasts see big disparity

Convention that Penner isn’t considering the “phenomenal” second growth that occurred after June 15. He estimates that added seven to 10 bu. per acre to the troubled areas of southern Saskatchewan and Alberta and at least 10 bu. to the remainder. Siddiqui believes that will bump production up to 475,000 to 500,000 tonnes. Quality will be decent, although not as good as the last four years. His production estimate is similar to Penner’s total supply number of 480,000 tonnes, although Penner acknowledged that is probably on the low side. Penner is forecasting 235,000 tonnes of exports in 2025-26, which would be a new record. That is due to the current low-price environment. However, ending stocks are still expected to climb to 123,000 tonnes, up from 90,000 tonnes in 2024-25, and that is using Penner’s conservative yield estimates. “It’s going to be difficult to see any meaningful (price) rally this year,” he said. Mexico had a poor crop of about 175,000 tonnes, a 29 per cent drop ...