Challenges for China orange imports including domestic production growth

Published 2024년 1월 12일

Tridge summary

China's orange production is forecasted to increase in 2023/24, potentially affecting the import market, driven by growth in key production regions such as Jiangxi province. Heavy rainfall in Jiangxi is expected to contribute to a 15 per cent increase in production, although lower quality is anticipated due to decreased Brix levels. This increase in domestic production is decreasing the need for imported oranges, with a predicted decrease in orange imports and stable exports.

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Original content

China’s domestic orange production has been forecast to rise in 2023/24 (12 months to October 31 2024) according to a USDA report, with increased volumes to potentially affect the import market. The report predicted production to reach 7.63m tonne driven by a growth in key production regions. Jiangxi province, which is China’s largest producer of navel oranges, will contribute to this number with an expected 15 per cent increase due to heavy rainfall from July to September and replanted trees following bouts of citrus greening disease bearing more fruit. While this rain has contributed to higher output, it is anticipated to lower the Brix level of the fruit, lowering the overall quality. In contrast, the Hunan and Hubei regions are expected to have improved quality of fruit this season although production levels remain the same. Lower Brix levels are likely to affect prices of navel oranges with packers and distributors predicting a slump of 12-30 per cent year-on-year. The USDA ...

Source: Fruitnet