China's pork production to decline by 2025

Published 2024년 9월 16일

Tridge summary

The article forecasts trends in pork production, consumption, imports, and exports for 2024 and 2025. A reduction in sow numbers in 2024 will initially lower piglet production, but pork production is expected to increase in late 2025 as sow inventories recover. Despite African Swine Fever, its impact is minimized due to better management. Pork consumption in China is projected to decline due to a shift towards healthier diets and alternative proteins. Pork imports will stay stable, favoring fresh/chilled over frozen pork. US pork prices are less competitive, and pork exports are expected to grow slightly, with steady demand from Hong Kong and Japan.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The reduction in sow numbers in 2024 will lead to a decrease in the number of piglets that will be raised as feeder pigs. In addition, pork production in the second half of 2025 is expected to be higher than in the first half of the same year, as the sow inventory will recover by the end of 2024. This increase in production is due to the reaction of pig producers and large companies to the recent increases in pork prices. The persistent and endemic African Swine Fever (ASF) is not expected to result in large-scale pig slaughter in 2025. Farmers have developed techniques to manage and control this disease. According to USDA sources, despite sporadic outbreaks of African Swine Fever, the effect on pig production has been limited. In addition, the proportion of production in the hands of large-scale pig producers is increasing and these companies are better prepared to deal with African Swine Fever. Lower pork consumption due to dietary changes Lower pork consumption is expected by ...
Source: 3tres3

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