The coffee market is expected to face another year of high volatility in 2026, driven by reduced global stocks and climatic uncertainties, according to data released by Cepea (Center for Advanced Studies in Applied Economics).
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The coffee market is expected to face another year of high volatility in 2026, driven by reduced global inventories and climatic uncertainties, according to data released by Cepea (Center for Advanced Studies in Applied Economics). With the Vietnamese harvest underway but still not alleviating the restricted supply scenario, prices tend to remain at elevated levels, as verified in the second half of 2025. According to Cepea, even in the face of signs of a slowdown in domestic and external consumption, the scarcity of the product will continue to exert a strong influence on prices. The price support is expected to continue until there is greater clarity on two key factors: the filling of the beans and the performance of the last third of the Brazilian harvest. The definition of these points will be essential for more accurate assessments of supply and demand, and to guide the formation of prices in the second half of 2026. In Brazil, expectations are more positive regarding the ...