EU dairy market: production forecast for 2025

Published 2024년 12월 13일

Tridge summary

The USDA GAIN report forecasts a slight decrease in milk production in the EU in 2025, largely due to lower cow's milk production caused by lower profits, environmental constraints, and disease outbreaks among large producers, leading to fewer cows and a slight decrease in milk yields. However, this is expected to be partially offset by lower fluid milk consumption. Cheese production is predicted to increase in 2025, contributing to the dairy industry's dominance, with stable domestic consumption and continued export demand. In contrast, butter production is expected to decrease in 2025 as processors shift to cheese production due to lower milk supply, although butter exports are forecast to recover slightly from 2024.

Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

This is reported by Infagro. According to the latest USDA GAIN report, lower milk production will be partially offset by lower expected fluid milk consumption. The expected increase in cheese production in 2025 will be due to lower production of butter, skimmed milk powder and whole milk powder. In 2025, total EU milk supplies are forecast to be 149.4 million tonnes, 0.2% below the revised 2024 estimate, with a slight decline in cow’s milk production. “Lower farm profits, combined with environmental constraints and disease outbreaks among large producers, continue to push some smaller farmers out of production. This trend is expected to lead to a reduction in the number of cows in 2025, which will not be fully compensated by an increase in productivity, leading to a slight decrease in milk yields in 2025 to 145.3 million tonnes,” the experts note. At the same time, cheese production in the EU-27 is forecast to reach 10.8 million tonnes in 2025, up 0.6% from 2024. Cheese production ...

Source: AgroPortal.ua