China's Pine Nut Production May Plummet 64.1%, Mediterranean Region Expected to Grow Nearly 29%
At the International Nut and Dried Fruit Council conference in Palma, Spain, INC forecasts show that global pine nut production may decline 27.3% to 126,520 tons in the 2025/26 season, due to an expected 64.1% year-on-year drop in China's production. Global pine nut production has been highly volatile, with total production at only 78,180 tons in 2023/24 and reaching 165,550 tons in 2022/23. Major producing countries primarily harvest pine nuts from wild environments, with minimal commercial cultivation, and collection often involves high risks.
Global pine nut production is primarily from China, with production expected to sharply decline 64.1% year-on-year to 40,000 tons in 2025/26. North Korea's production is expected to remain stable at 30,000 tons, Russia's Siberian region is predicted to surge 66.7% to 25,000 tons, and Mongolia is expected to produce 9,000 tons. The Mediterranean region also produces significant Italian stone pine, with key production areas' 2025/26 forecasts including: Turkey increasing 39.4% to 7,600 tons, Italy expected to reduce production by 20% to 500 tons, and Portugal and Spain both expected to remain at 500 tons. Affected by extreme drought in the 2022/23 season, both Iberian countries' production has remained low. Their production in 2022/23 was 1,200 tons each, with Spain's production expected to recover to 2,070 tons in the next season, while Portugal's will drop to 700 tons. Overall, the Mediterranean region's pine nut production is expected to grow 28.6% to 9,520 tons. Combined with this season's carried-over inventory, international market pine nut supply in 2025/26 is still expected to reach 214,790 tons, increasing by approximately 14,500 tons from the previous season.
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