Global sugar market swinging from deficit to small surplus, says Dreyfus

Published 2025년 5월 14일

Tridge summary

The sugar market is expected to see a significant shift from a deficit of 5.2 million metric tons in 2024/25 to a surplus of 400,000 tons in 2025/26, according to commodities trader Louis Dreyfus. This change is attributed to increased production in India and a smaller crop in Brazil. Dreyfus' projections for the new Brazil crop are among the lowest, with other agencies and brokers predicting higher production numbers. Dreyfus has warned that the market may be underestimating the potential supply shortage, given the heavy reliance on Brazil for sugar production.
Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

The sugar market will switch from a large deficit of 5.2 million metric tons in 2024/25 to a small surplus of 400,000 tons in 2025/26, with higher output in India offsetting a smaller crop in Brazil, commodities trader Louis Dreyfus said on Monday. Brazil’s start of the crop is “very concerning”, considering both agricultural yields and sugar content on cane, the commodities trader said in a presentation on the first day of New York Sugar Week. India’s production for the season that starts in October is projected to grow to 30.5 million tons from 26 million tons in the previous crop, while Brazil’s center-south crop is estimated at 39.3 million tons, down from 40.2 million tons, according to the presentation. Louis Dreyfus’ (AKIRAU.UL) projection for the new Brazil crop is one of the smallest so far. Brazil’s government agency Conab sees center-south sugar crop at 41.8 million tons, while broker Hedgepoint Global Markets projected it at 43.3 million tons. Dreyfus was the sole ...

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