The sugar market is expected to see a significant shift from a deficit of 5.2 million metric tons in 2024/25 to a surplus of 400,000 tons in 2025/26, according to commodities trader Louis Dreyfus. This change is attributed to increased production in India and a smaller crop in Brazil. Dreyfus' projections for the new Brazil crop are among the lowest, with other agencies and brokers predicting higher production numbers. Dreyfus has warned that the market may be underestimating the potential supply shortage, given the heavy reliance on Brazil for sugar production.