How will the prices of onions, apricots, cherries, and dried fruit be affected by the conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan?

Published Apr 30, 2021

Tridge summary

A border conflict between Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan has led to a disruption in the trade of fruits, vegetables, dried fruits, and agricultural goods between the two countries, with potential implications for the Russian market. The conflict has already caused a price crisis in the Tajik onion market and is expected to increase pressure on cherry and strawberry prices. If the conflict persists, it could increase demand for early vegetables and fruits from Uzbekistan, reducing pressure on the Russian onion market. However, if the situation continues, Tajik gardeners and vegetable growers could face significant losses due to lowered exports and increased production costs.

Disclaimer:The above summary was generated by Tridge's proprietary AI model for informational purposes.

Original content

According to EastFruit analysts, the conflict on the border between Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan can have a significant impact on the prices of fruits and vegetables in the region and even affect prices on the Russian market. Despite the fact that yesterday at 20:00 the parties agreed on a ceasefire, border control has been significantly strengthened, and at least informal flows of goods are not being carried out at the moment. Trade sources in the region report that informal trade, which is not reflected in the foreign trade statistics of the two countries, is significant. This is exactly what comes to the market of Kyrgyzstan, and then to Russia, a considerable part of Tajik dried fruits, as well as the export of cherries, peaches, grapes and berries, primarily strawberries (strawberries). In the opposite direction, i.e. from Kyrgyzstan to Tajikistan, cheap mineral fertilizers and cheaper fuel are supplied for use, incl. and in agriculture of border areas. Currently, the onion ...

Source: Eastfruit